Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Dow to go Higher, Bonds to Drop Lower

Hi everyone,   I know its been awhile since I last updated the blog but wanted to add some thoughts on what I see happening in the market.  We've been on a constant rally with the Dow, and after witnessing Gold sell off about 300 points in 3 days it goes to show you the markets are never dull right?   I hope you were able to catch some of Golds historic move to the downside and that you pocketed some nice cash.. :)

Today I want to highlight that it looks like the Dow is going to continue higher and break its high and continuing moving higher.   But the trade to watch and is something I trade myself is to short the 30 year T-bond as this typical correlated instrument will usually be inverted to whatever the Dow is doing.   So for myself instead of chasing the Dow I believe its a better trade to short the Bonds, with a tight stop at 5 ticks and open target (but no more than 32 ticks as the baby will more than likely reverse outside of 32 ticks)
Watch for a bid up,  and/or sell off some support or a pull back to catch more of the downside move if you like.



Also,   be aware this Friday is Non-farm Payroll and looks to be a pretty volatile day.  So be careful out there trading!  

Have a great week,

-david
I am not an investment advisor. This website is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Never make investment decisions based on anything wetalkmoneyblog says. This website is meant for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide investment advice. Federal Trade Commission Disclosure: --links, products, and product reviews on this website may result in WTM being paid a commission-- Thank-you for your support.